There’s a good reason you might be feeling Canada’s economic recovery, and that’s because of how it’s measured. Canada’s gross domestic product (GDP) ripped higher in Q3 2021 and it’s just shy of the pre-2020 peak. Aggregate GDP measures are only useful for the size of an industry, not how it impacts people. For the […]
Despite Canadian real estate spiraling out of control, the central bank held rates. The Bank of Canada (BoC) attributed the decision to fears of economic risk, but glossed over that fear being a housing slowdown. The BoC’s latest gross domestic product (GDP) forecast shows housing will provide a big drag in 2022. A year ago, […]
Canadian real estate’s economic contribution was slowing, but it’s back with a vengeance. Gross domestic product (GDP) made a big jump in October, with real estate doing a lot of the heavy lifting. A component, real estate and rental and leasing (RERL) provided over a tenth of the monthly GDP increase. RERL showed the biggest […]
Canadians are going all-in on housing, as it’s increasingly seen as a low-risk asset. As debt grows faster than the economy, the ratio of mortgage debt to gross domestic product (GDP) has been soaring. Canada has created so much moral hazard, home prices no longer fall during a recession. Instead, households are leveraging up and […]
The Canadian economy is recovering slower than its peers despite elevated inflation. BMO chief economist Douglas Porter indexed the GDP for Canada, the US, and Australia in Q3 2021. All three economies began as a v-shaped recovery, but Canada is the only one not to hit pre-pandemic levels. Despite signs of a strong economy, like […]
Canadian homeowners are tapping their real estate windfall to fund a spending binge. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows home equity lines of credit (HELOC) debt surged in September. HELOC debt slowed last year but now it’s back with a vengeance, growing faster than the economy. Experts say it provides a boost to the economy […]
Canadians have been house crazy during the pandemic, and it’s been a big boost to the economy. Now with housing returning to more typical volumes, it’s turned into a drag on the economy. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows real gross domestic product (GDP) slipped lower in July. Even with a pullback, it’s making progress […]
Canadian debt is dirt cheap, but it won’t be this cheap forever, warns BMO. Douglas Porter, the bank’s chief economist, expects the cost of borrowing to remain “low for long.” He just doesn’t see it being quite as low as the current stimulus driven environment. As governments taper stimulus to fund its spending, borrowing rates […]
The Canadian economy defied odds, and became more dependent on real estate investment. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) residential investment data shows a surge in current dollars for Q2 2021. The most recent quarter showed a massive climb — much bigger than GDP in general. This pushed residential investment’s share of the economy to a new […]
Canada’s housing market giveth and taketh away. BMO senior economist Sal Guatieri dropped some notes on plummeting residential investment today. The segment of gross domestic product (GDP) fell so fast in Q2 2021, it held the whole economy back. The bank warned this is just the beginning for housing investment, as it comes back to […]
