Canada’s economy stumbled in November, with Statistics Canada (StatCan) data showing flat growth. Not much of a drag, but enough that it shaves nearly a quarter of the growth the Bank of Canada forecast just a few days ago. For national data, that’s not noise—it’s a massive gap, and the most likely explanation raises more […]
The Canadian economy is doing better than expected, and things will slow but be fine. That’s the takeaway one gets reading the summary of the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) January Monetary Policy Report (MPR). However, a dive into the full 44-page report reveals that narrative is a statistical mirage, supported by contradictory data points the […]
Canada’s central bank won’t love what the latest trade data says about the economy. Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) latest merchandise trade data shows a return to deficit territory in October due to surging imports. Demand is running so hot it’s seeking its fix abroad, while demand for Canadian goods is failing to keep up. The imbalance […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Housing Affordability Improves, Still Near 90s Peak: RBC RBC data shows housing affordability has improved for a seventh straight quarter. The bank estimates a median household needs to spend 53.2% of its disposable income on ownership costs in Q3. If that […]
Canadian GDP just hit reverse, a move that conflicts with the quarterly boom at first sight. Statistics Canada (StatCan) data shows GDP fell sharply in October—enough to erase months of gains. The reversal leaves the economy with the broadest erosion of industry since the pandemic, and it’s not just a blip. Canada’s economy is undergoing […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Real Estate Nears End of 60-Year Cycle—Transit Use Is The Risk Sign The decline of public transit use in Canada is a bigger sign than many realize. Since 2020, revenues have returned to normal but ridership hasn’t recovered—even with the addition […]
The Canadian economy expanded faster than analyst forecasts, but it isn’t what it seems. Statistics Canada (StatCan) data shows Gross Domestic Product (GDP) saw unusually large growth in Q3. It sounds like good news, but diving into the data revealed the surge was entirely due to superficial accounting mechanics. Compounding the problem further—the agency warns […]
Canada’s odds of recession remain above 1 in 3, according to the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) Market Participants Survey (MPS) for Q3 2025. The survey of banks, asset managers, and investment firms shows markets still expect a downturn within 6 months—and optimism is eroding even among the most upbeat respondents. Markets Give 1 In 3 […]
The Bank of Canada (BoC) cut its overnight rate by 25 basis points to 2.25% this morning, citing weak investment and falling demand. It also reminded Canadians that monetary policy is meant to keep inflation low and stable—then promptly put that on the sideburner. The BoC warned that monetary policy won’t fix the current headwinds, […]
Canada’s private-sector business environment is worse than headline data suggests. Statistics Canada (StatCan) data shows active businesses were little changed in July, but a closer look reveals the economy has seen big changes. Active business growth is increasingly concentrated in sectors dependent on public spending. The headline data has obscured reality, masking a sharp erosion […]
