Canadian real estate is so bubbly a large bank sees prices soaring in a downturn. Scotiabank (BNS) reported earnings today, filing the bank’s macroeconomic forecasts. These forecast scenarios help to determine outlook, and include a base case, optimistic case, and two pessimistic ones. Even in the bank’s worst case scenario, they forecast home prices will […]
Canada’s economy is booming, and there’s a good chance you’re not feeling any of the benefits. A new study by Statistics Canada (Stat Can) on gross domestic product (GDP) per capita might shed some light on why. The agency found GDP recovered from the recession but not when measured on a per capita basis. Lingering […]
Canada’s real estate bubble is finally beginning to unwind and everyone wants to know how low it goes. BMO Capital Markets tackled the subject for clients on the weekend, providing models and historical context. Rising interest rates are certain to cause a correction, as it purges excess leverage. Prices need to drop significantly just to […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s most important stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Real Estate Prices 38% Overvalued, Largest Trend Deviation In 40 Years: BMO Canadian real estate hasn’t seen anything quite like the bubble it’s facing right now. Since 2020, the price of a typical home across Canada has increased a whopping […]
Canadian real estate faces several hurdles and those hurdles are about to rise. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows outstanding mortgage credit climbed substantially in March. It was only the first month of rate hikes, but we’re already beginning to see activity relax. Growth is now off multi-year highs with rising rates and falling sales […]
Canadian inflation surged to a multi-decade high while the jobless rate plunged to a low. In April, the consumer price index (CPI) remained higher than the unemployment rate. According to the National Bank of Canada (NBF), it’s only happened a couple of times before and it was bad news. Canada’s Inflation Is Now Higher Than […]
Canadian real estate is cooling quickly after higher rates derailed its record run. A new research note from BMO shows the national sales to new listings ratio (SNLR) fell in April. The indicator measures supply relative to demand and acts as a leading price indicator. Canadian real estate can expect prices to trial the country’s […]
The Canadian real estate boom is dead and experts see an inevitable correction. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows home sales dropped in April. Higher mortgage rates and unsustainable prices have vaporized demand, as markets adjust. As big as the drop in demand was last month, economists think we’re just getting started. Canadian Real […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s most important stories. Most Canadian Real Estate Gains Will Be Wiped Out Starting This Year: Oxford Econ Canadian real estate prices have increased 50% since 2020, but a lot of those gains are about to reverse. Oxford Economics reiterated its call for a 24% price drop, seeing […]
Canada’s real estate bubble may force the country’s central bank to put inflation on the back burner. Yesterday, Bank of Canada (BoC) Deputy Governor Tony Gravelle addressed Quebec economists. In his speech, titled the Perfect Storm, he explained various interest rate scenarios. The one that stood out most was pausing interest rates due to housing […]
