Canada plans to limit permanent resident visas next year, but they’re already plunging lower without restrictions. Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) data shows permanent resident applications made a sharp drop in July. Even if the current trend stops eroding and stabilizes, the country would struggle to hit next year’s planned limits without any policy […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Real Estate Prices To Correct After Immigration Cuts: BMO Canada’s oldest bank sees good news for affordability—actual affordability. In a research note to investors, BMO reiterates their belief that Canada has a housing demand problem, not a supply problem. Therefore the […]
Canada delivered its biggest affordability measure in years—shrinking its population. That was the takeaway from a new report from BMO Capital Markets this week. The bank has repeatedly warned that promises to triple the new homes built and create affordability with supply, weren’t grounded in reality. Now that Canada is quietly acknowledging this failure, they […]
Canada’s government just went from labeling critics of its immigration policy as xenophobic to admitting their plan was unsustainable. This morning the Government of Canada (GoC) announced it won’t just throttle immigration, but the country will embrace intentional degrowth. The decision comes after a sharp decline in immigration applications, implying the sudden shift is more […]
Canada’s central bank sees the economy getting a big boost from falling rates. The latest Bank of Canada (BoC) forecast shows real gross domestic product (GDP) rising sharply next year. Falling rates are expected to drive a big jump in housing investment, boosting real GDP. Not surprising, most of the real estate industry also expects […]
Canadian households are celebrating cheaper credit after rates were further slashed. This morning the Bank of Canada (BoC) made its October rate announcement, slashing the overnight rate by 0.5 points in a single move. The “supersized” cut was widely expected by the market, but reinforces a troubling picture the central bank’s accompanying report confirmed. Canada’s […]
The Greater Canadian mortgage renewal cliff was largely overblown, according to the country’s largest bank. In its latest research note, RBC states that aggressive easing means that not all households will renew at higher rates, and the impact will be smaller than anticipated. They warn that doesn’t mean we’re in the clear, as a much […]
Canadians are more excited at the thought of cheap credit than actually getting it. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows household credit grew in August—though at a slower rate than the month before. The mild acceleration in borrowing ahead of rate cuts reversed once the actual cuts were made. It potentially serves as a red […]
Canadian real estate seems boring these days, but dramatic demand shifts are occurring. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows the sales to new listings ratio (SNLR) fell in September. At the national level, the drop was only slight but the composition shift was very unexpected. Booming cities like Calgary are now seeing the demand […]
Canadian housing starts are starting to lose momentum but they remain lofty. Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) data shows a drop in housing starts for September. Despite the slow month, BMO notes the trend is still moving higher, especially considering the environment. The slowdown is contrary to policymaker efforts to triple new home starts, […]
