The Canadian real estate correction has produced a glimmer of hope in young adults. In a worst case scenario, Desjardins sees home prices falling as much as 30% in a deep recession. It still won’t be enough to restore affordability—especially in Greater Toronto. The institution warns that housing is costing Ontario its edge, as its […]
Canada has relied on housing to drive its economy, but housing may have reached its limit. Residential investment, housing’s most direct contribution to GDP, fell in Q2 2023. Over just two years, residential investment transitioned from nearly 1 in 11 dollars of GDP to the smallest share in over two decades. Canadian Residential Investment Residential […]
Canada’s economy may be just a few short months away from recession. The latest gross domestic product (GDP) data from Statistics Canada (Stat Can) stalled in Q2 2023. As much of a red flag as that is, it gets worse when you consider the population boom. Despite there being a lot more people, households are […]
Canadian real estate affordability data paints a dreary future for young adults. BMO’s latest look at affordability reveals it hasn’t been this hard to buy a home since the late-80s bubble. The brief period of rising interest rates didn’t help, but there’s a bigger issue. Interest rates are the highest since 2001, but since then […]
To the surprise of many, Canadians have balanced high debt loads and credit quality for over a decade. That era might be over. Transunion Canada data reveals an explosion of subprime borrowers in Q2 2023. Higher living costs and rising rates have combined to produce higher risk borrowers. At the same time, lenders are embracing […]
Canada’s biggest bank is warning investors of an economic slowdown brewing. Gross domestic product (GDP) data for Q2 won’t be released until next week, but RBC expects it to show the economy was hit with a sharp slowdown. Coupled with a mild acceleration to inflation, everyone has one question—is a slowing economy enough to prevent […]
Canada’s Millennials are doing worse than previous generations by virtually every metric. RBC Economics shared a report focusing on debt, labor, and economic risks. They found that Millennial incomes are failing to keep up in the current environment, leading to less disposable income. Boomers are doing much better, so it may sound like it all […]
Canadian mortgage borrowers won’t take on the risk of a variable rate mortgage, but they’re dreaming of rate cuts. Bank of Canada (BoC) data reveals a record share of mortgage originations had fixed interest terms in June. However, they aren’t opting for a longer, and traditionally more popular, 5-year fixed term. National Bank of Canada […]
Canada’s central bank will be watching home prices carefully when setting interest rates. In a note to investors, BMO Capital Markets explained that falling new home prices reduced the consumer price index (CPI) readings. However, they’re starting to bottom and are likely to become an influence on higher inflation. The Bank of Canada (BoC) is […]
Canadian mortgage credit fell to a level that might make policymakers uncomfortable. Bank of Canada (BoC) data reveals that outstanding mortgage credit climbed in June. However, it wasn’t enough to reverse the trend of decelerating growth. The last time the rate fell this low, mortgage liquidity injections were already in the works to stimulate borrowing. […]
