The days of Canada having a reputation of conservative bank practices are coming to an end. In a new research note from the IMF, the global financial agency ranked mortgage default risks for households. Canada’s combination of high household debt, frothy home prices, and floating rate loans makes it the riskiest advanced economy in the […]
Canada’s falling bond yields provided cheap mortgage credit, helping to boost home prices. Now it’s reversing course, with Government of Canada (GoC) 5 year bond yields rising sharply. The yields directly influence fixed mortgage rates, and over just a few days they’ve nearly reversed the discount given after the US banking crisis. Higher rates will […]
Canadian mortgage borrowers are fleeing unpredictable variable rates, and getting more leverage. Bank of Canada (BoC) data reveals that nearly three-quarters of mortgages issued in March had rates fixed for 1 to 5 years. It’s a big change from a year ago, when most borrowers were opting for variable rates. Borrowers shifted their preferences after […]
Canadian mortgage debt is finally returning to normal just a year after rates began climbing. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows households continued to slow down on the mortgage credit borrowing in March 2023. The growth rate has now returned to levels more typical of the 2010s—back when people thought they knew what a frothy […]
Canada’s real estate frenzy fallout is only just beginning, according to its central bank. The Bank of Canada (BoC) published their latest Financial System Review (FSR) today, with mortgage repayment presenting a threat to the economy. They forecast that existing borrowers will see their payments climb significantly by 2025, especially if borrowers don’t extend the […]
Canadian real estate prices are back to climbing aggressively just over a year after the correction began. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows the price of a composite benchmark, or typical, home surged in April 2023. The unusually large increase observed also happens to be similar in size to increased leverage from falling mortgage […]
Canadian inflation might be cooling, but the costs of building a home is surging higher. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows home building costs jumped higher in Q1 2023. Rather than slowing down, growth is accelerating—running over 5x the inflation target. It’s even worse in Toronto, where the high rise crane capital of North America […]
Canada’s real estate correction may already be over, as prices return to sharp growth. BMO Capital Markets wrote to investors this week to explain they see higher home prices in the near-term. The bank observed that shortly after the Bank of Canada (BoC) warned of no further rate hikes, buyers returned with bigger budgets and […]
Canada’s largest bank is seeing signs of stress, as the cheap money binge haunts borrowers. RBC wrote to investors this week to warn households are beginning to fall behind on credit payments. As the economy begins to slow and job losses mount, the bank is forecasting things are going to get a lot worse over […]
Canadian business insolvencies are back with a fury. Business insolvency filings with the Office of The Superintendent of Bankruptcy (OSB) climbed sharply in February. The number of businesses seeking creditor relief is now back to normal levels, before pandemic relief was rolled out. The problem is these aren’t supposed to be normal times, but a […]
