Canadian home prices made a big jump in the second quarter, especially existing homes. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows large advances in the Big Six real estate markets in Q2 2021. Both new and existing home prices increased very quickly. However, existing home prices grew at twice the rate of new homes. Canada’s Big […]
Canadian real estate is perfectly efficient, and households never display signs of exuberance. That or it’s a ticking time bomb, waiting to go off. This year marks the 24th year of expanding home prices in Canada, and we’re two quarters into it. This isn’t just the longest expansion in Canadian history, it’s one of the […]
The largest property bubbles in Canada have officially begun to deflate. Last month we crunched the numbers on what it would take for Toronto and Vancouver housing to maintain its momentum. Failing an enormous monthly price increase in July, the previous month would be the peak. Well, it didn’t hit the target rate of growth […]
Canada’s top banker made an unusual move and began explaining his actions in the news. In an opinion piece last week, the Bank of Canada (BoC) governor Tiff Macklem didn’t let his work speak for itself. Instead, he took the unusual step of writing his own defensive opinion piece. Let’s take a quick dive into […]
Lumber prices pushed the cost of building a home higher — a lot higher. Canadian Home Builders’ Association (CHBA) data shows members saw lumber costs soar. In fact, more than half of builders said lumber costs increased at least $30,000 in Q2 2021. Even though lumber prices have since crashed, don’t expect cheaper housing. Not […]
Canadian real estate affordability deteriorated so fast, it will delay buyers by years. National Bank of Canada (NBC) crunched the numbers on how long it would take to save a down payment in Q2 2021. Not buy the home, but to just have the minimum required down payment to get a mortgage. Over one quarter, […]
Canadian real estate went from being a boost for the economy, to being a drag in just over a year. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows real gross domestic product (GDP) fell in May. Amongst the sectors causing the slowdown was real estate, having peaked in March. Since then the sector has been deteriorating at […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Mortgage Quality Has “Deteriorated”: Bank Of Canada Newly issued mortgage debt is going to highly indebted mortgage borrowers. These borrowers represent 21.7% of mortgages issued in Q4 2020, a new record high. It even dwarfed the previous record set in 2016, […]
One of the Big Six Canadian banks is seeing an uptick in delinquencies in a key Canadian real estate market. CIBC generally observed a decline in delinquencies for uninsured mortgages in Q2 2021. The data, presented to institutional debt investors, did have one exception — Vancouver. Greater Vancouver’s uninsured mortgage delinquencies made an unexpected surge […]
The Canadian economy is improving, excluding some minor hiccups like this morning’s GDP. An improved economy needs less stimulus, and that means higher mortgage rates. To see what Canada is in for, we modeled a forecast range for 5-year fixed-rate mortgages. If Canada doesn’t go into a double-dip recession, much higher mortgage rates are coming. […]
