Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate The Bank Of Canada Will Raise Interest Rates Early, Can Hit 11x The Current Rate: BMO Canada’s oldest bank sees interest rates climbing quickly over the next few months. BMO has moved up its forecast by 3 months, and now sees the […]
One of Canada’s “Big Six” banks is declaring next year to be “The Year of The Hike.” National Bank of Canada (NBC) chief strategist (and poet-in-residence) Warren Lovely is calling the first interest rate hike in just a few months. He sees the Bank of Canada (BoC) making its hike in March, way ahead of […]
Canada has seen a surge in real estate buyers looking to get ahead of rising rates. After all, a higher cost of borrowing means higher payments, right? Running TransUnion mortgage payment data against mortgage rates shows the exact opposite. This is due to the basic design of interest rates, which are increasingly ignored due to […]
Canadian households are on an epic mortgage borrowing spree. Data from TransUnion shows explosive growth for new mortgage originations in Q2 2021. Sparked by low rates, the surge reveals that excess demand has played a significant role in exhausting supply. Canadian New Mortgages Jumped 49% Canadian mortgage originations made a sharp increase from historical levels. […]
Canada’s oldest bank is accelerating its forecast schedule for the central bank. BMO sees the first interest rate hike in April, after yesterday’s announcement from the Bank of Canada (BoC). That would be 3-months sooner than previously forecast, and the first hike is just the beginning. The forecast shows the overnight rate rising as much […]
Canada’s central bank didn’t do much today, but they did give us a new Tiff-ism for Christmas. The Bank of Canada (BoC) made no changes in its rate announcement this morning, the last of the year. They also updated the public on their promise not to accumulate government bonds, calling the balance “roughly constant.” What […]
One of the world’s largest economies is handcuffed to over-leveraged home buyers. An analysis from Oxford Economics looks at two rate hike scenarios in Canada. Tony Stillo, the firm’s chief economist, expects the Bank of Canada (BoC) to hike interest rates slowly. If the central bank takes this path, all households will bear the burden […]
After decades of telling the public that low rates make housing affordable, Canada’s central bank is declaring, whoops! Bank of Canada (BoC) research shows decades of low rates did not make housing affordable. In fact, it had the opposite effect — increasing the size of mortgage debt. Real estate markets absorbed the increased debt capacity […]
Canadians are going all-in on housing, as it’s increasingly seen as a low-risk asset. As debt grows faster than the economy, the ratio of mortgage debt to gross domestic product (GDP) has been soaring. Canada has created so much moral hazard, home prices no longer fall during a recession. Instead, households are leveraging up and […]
The Canadian economy is quickly going from a recovery to overstimulated. That was the take from the National Bank of Canada (NBC) today, anyway. In an unusual move, the Big Six bank wrote an open letter demanding a halt to stimulus. They also argue that the central bank needs to hike rates in the next […]
