A large Canadian financial institution sees higher mortgage rates in your future. Desjardins’ mortgage forecast shows they expect mortgages to continue to climb from here. They see 5-year fixed mortgage rates hitting pre-pandemic levels by next fall. That is before the first expected hike to the overnight rate from the Bank of Canada. Canadian Mortgages […]
Canadians aren’t using their homes like an ATM. At least not as much as you would think. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows home equity line of credit (HELOC) balances reached a record high in March. It barely did so, with a rate of growth so low it would be negative if inflation adjusted. This […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s most important stories. Canadian Real Estate Bank Of Canada Indicators Now Show Some Real Estate Markets Are A Bubble Canada’s central bank published its own index of overvalued housing markets. The BoC’s latest research shows Toronto, Hamilton, and Montreal are exuberant (AKA bubbles) in Q1 2021. Montreal […]
Record Canadian real estate sales and cheap money has led to a boom in mortgage debt. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows residential mortgage credit hit an all-time high in March. That isn’t surprising, since it hasn’t fallen in Canada for a very long time. The rate at which it’s increasing is simply mind-blowing though. […]
Canadian mortgage borrowers are increasingly overleveraged, while better-positioned ones take a step back. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows overleveraged borrowers represented a larger share of new mortgage debt in 2020. The rise came at the expense of those with better debt levels. That means there is a lot more risk entering the market, for […]
It shouldn’t be too surprising that a record number of real estate sales is accompanied by a ton of new borrowing. Funds advanced, which is new mortgage credit issued or extended, climbed at a rapid rate in March. Borrowers took out a record amount of mortgage debt, with the majority of it uninsured. Canadians Borrowed […]
Canadian new housing starts made a sharp decline, which normally is a red flag for the economy. BMO senior economist Sal Guatieri said April’s numbers may not be the traditional leading indicator though. He argues there are a few factors that make this time different. I feel like I’ve heard this about another country before. […]
The Canadian economy is recovering so fast, the central bank may soon have to hike rates to cool it down. That’s the take from the National Bank of Canada (NBC), who accelerated their forecast timeline today. They expect output gap closure by the middle of next year, as well as inflation running hot. Rising inflation […]
Falling mortgage interest rates didn’t give much relief to Canadian real estate buyers. Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) data shows the average monthly payment for new mortgages increased in Q4 2020. The size of the increase isn’t all that important, so much as the fact it increased at all. Mortgage rates were cut by […]
Canadian real estate is such a big part of the economy, just its spin-off economic activity is now a huge deal. The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) has forecast big 2021 home sales, but the second half will be slower than the first. Next year they see a less exciting, but more typical year for […]
