Canadians are hoarding mortgage debt like it’s toilet paper and a pandemic just broke out. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows seasonally adjusted mortgage credit hit a new high in November. That statement may not be as impactful as it used to be — it has printed a record high for more than 250 consecutive […]
Canadian home prices are soaring as easy credit continues to drive excess demand. The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows real estate prices ripped higher in December. Prices are now showing the fastest annual growth ever, with few signs of slowing down. The recent acceleration in price growth shows the annual rate may rise […]
Canadian real estate is being scooped up by investors with excessively cheap credit. Ownership data for residential real estate across four regions show a significant share owned by investors in 2020. What’s most impressive is how fast this trend must have accelerated. Cities have seen up to 90% of recently completed homes go to investors, […]
America’s largest bank is making a bold call for Canada’s central bank — it will raise rates within days. JP Morgan (JPM) economist Silvana Dimino shared their forecast for Canadian interest rates. JPM sees the Bank of Canada (BoC) hiking the overnight rate five times in 2022, sending it 500% higher. Most surprising is how […]
The kings of Bay Street aren’t happy with Canada’s central bank, and they’re no longer holding back criticism. Four of the “Big Six” banks have recently urged the Bank of Canada (BoC) to raise the overnight rate. Another bank hasn’t urged action, yet. However, they’ve warned consumers of the risk of buying a home at […]
Canada’s central bank quietly updated its real estate affordability index. It wasn’t good news. The Housing Affordability Index (HAI) made a big jump in Q3 2021. Maintained by the Bank of Canada (BOC), the HAI shows the share of income required to service a mortgage on a home. Low rates are no longer helping affordability, […]
Canadian bond yields are soaring, but the central bank isn’t expected to raise rates. At least not yet, according to an analysis from BMO Capital Markets. Government of Canada (GoC) bond yields showed a multi-year high for annual growth in 2021. This means rising market expectations of the overnight rate climbing in the near-term. Despite […]
Canadians are buying into the narrative that higher mortgage rates will wreck half of households. A survey making the rounds saying exactly that doesn’t help, but the narrative existed before the survey. Fortunately, this isn’t true. How can we be sure? Well, let’s start with less than a third of households have a mortgage. Less […]
Over the past year, we’ve heard that younger households were behind the real estate binge. In addition to transfer data showing that’s not true, Equifax mortgage data for Q3 2021 agrees. Most demographics showed little change in their borrowing patterns, except for the extremes. Millennial-led households maintained their share of mortgages, but a larger share […]
Canada’s central bank warned real estate buyers to prepare for higher interest rates. It appears buyers are calling their bluff, opting for little rate protection on loans. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows the share of new mortgages with variable rates doubled in October. Interest costs on most new uninsured mortgages will rise with rates, […]
