Canada’s economy is close to contraction, with public sector growth the last pillar holding it up. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows real gross domestic product (GDP) was unchanged in August. A Big Six bank warns that despite maintaining robust population growth, only non-business growth remains positive. The combination of factors continues to erode at […]
Canadian households may be even less confident about the future of the economy than we think. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows active businesses were unchanged in July. In fact, despite a booming population, the country has seen no growth in the number of businesses that operate. With businesses continuing to close at a faster […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Real Estate Prices To Correct After Immigration Cuts: BMO Canada’s oldest bank sees good news for affordability—actual affordability. In a research note to investors, BMO reiterates their belief that Canada has a housing demand problem, not a supply problem. Therefore the […]
Canada’s central bank sees the economy getting a big boost from falling rates. The latest Bank of Canada (BoC) forecast shows real gross domestic product (GDP) rising sharply next year. Falling rates are expected to drive a big jump in housing investment, boosting real GDP. Not surprising, most of the real estate industry also expects […]
Canada’s economy is slowing, and there are concerns that slowing population growth may amplify the issue. A new analysis from BMO shows no historical evidence to support a short—or medium-term correlation between real GDP and population growth. The bank pulled over 30 years of data and found the opposite—real GDP and population growth move in […]
Canada’s reputation as an ideal environment may be more hype than reality these days. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows businesses suffered a major setback in June. The country saw the largest wave of business closures since the depths of the 2020 pandemic, when lockdowns physically restricted businesses from activity. In just one month, Canada […]
Canada’s economic output is stronger than expected but far from impressive. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew in July, following up a flat month. Any positive expectations are cooled by the details, revealing a few only-in-recession data points. That includes government stimulus in the form of public sector expansion being one […]
Canada has long defended its generous immigration policy, but has recently reversed course. Many assume this is temporary pandering that will soon loosen, but the odds are slanted towards further tightening. US Customs and Border Protection (CBP) data shows the country has stopped over 1,200 terror suspects on their “Watchlist” attempting to cross from Canada […]
Canadian real estate experienced a major shift during the pandemic as remote work was embraced. Unanchoring careers from pricey cities, people fled to more remote and affordable smaller cities, bringing a surge of economic activity (and higher home prices), at the expense of big cities. Policymakers are now attempting to reverse this move by pushing […]
Canada’s economy went from struggling with productivity growth to an all-out crisis. That’s the take from TD this morning, who warns the productivity crisis is worsening. Skewed incentives have reallocated productive investment to non-productive areas, now consuming a larger share of the economy. If this persists, the bank warns that Canada will see further erosion […]
