Canadian inflation has been driven by two key pressure points in recent years: shelter and food. Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) data shows shelter inflation is finally cooling, helping to keep the Consumer Price Index (CPI) stable in November. But BMO Capital Markets is warning investors that the other half of the problem is flaring up again—food […]
One of Canada’s biggest drivers of inflation is overstated, according to a Big Six bank. A new report from CIBC Economics warns investors that official CPI rent inflation overstates growth. This implies the Bank of Canada (BoC) may be keeping rates higher than needed. It’s a disturbing argument with one problem: It’s not clear if […]
Canada’s central bank is running out of excuses. Headline inflation surged in September, according to Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) latest Consumer Price Index (CPI). Rising headline inflation is certainly a concern, but it was dwarfed by what the agency omitted: the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) preferred core inflation metrics. The BoC recently floated the idea of […]
Canada’s real estate addiction may limit the central bank’s ability to respond to loosening conditions. The Bank of Canada (BoC) cut its overnight rate by 25 basis points to 2.50% at its September meeting, as expected. Markets are pricing in more cuts, but BMO economists caution that moving too fast risks undoing recent housing market […]
The Canadian economy is cooling but inflation accelerated as the base effect from gasoline faded. Statistics Canada (StatCan) data shows CPI accelerated in August, with core measures still running hot and shelter costs returning to breakneck growth. That puts the Bank of Canada (BoC) in a tricky situation at the upcoming rate announcement, as it […]
Canadian headline inflation came down sharply but that doesn’t tell the full story. Statistics Canada data shows the headline consumer price index (CPI) climbed 1.7% year-over-year (YoY) in July, down from 1.9% in June. The deceleration was almost entirely due to gas prices, leading to a modeling skew. A deeper dive into the numbers reveals […]
Canadian inflation is cooling but remains hot enough to stop further rate cuts. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows the headline consumer price index (CPI) stalled in May. That would typically be good news—if not for rising risks that inflation could accelerate again. In response, RBC believes the central bank’s easing cycle is over, and […]
Canadian inflation slowed last month, though most people are unlikely to have noticed much savings (if any). Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) slowed in April. It was a result of last month’s removal of the consumer carbon tax, leading to an abrupt but temporary decline. However, a look […]
One of Canada’s largest banks is sounding the alarm on excessive easing at the wrong time. The Bank of Canada (BoC) slashed its key policy rate earlier this month, despite warning of rising inflation approaching its tolerance. A new report from Scotiabank outlines how the central bank has been disregarding rising inflation data, and rushing […]
Canada’s tax holiday ran for two months but it probably felt much shorter, and with good reason. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows the Consumer Price Index (CPI) accelerated in January. The central bank’s preferred inflation measures are now approaching the upper bound, and will bust through it like the Kool-Aid Man once the temporary […]
