Canadians know inflation climbed sharply last month, but there’s a stranger story in the headline data. Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose in April, driven by energy prices. However, a modeling skew in categories like air travel helped suppress the acceleration, despite conflicting industry data. Canadian CPI Surges To Highest Level In 23 […]
Canadian businesses were bracing for elevated inflation—then the Iran War broke out. Now they’re doubting the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) ability to contain inflation, according to the Q1 2026 Business Outlook Survey. The central bank’s survey reveals firms are preparing for 5 years of elevated inflation. Canadian Businesses Expected Inflation To Surge Before Latest War […]
Canadian inflation readings are surging, a trend that’s just getting started. Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) Consumer Price Index (CPI) surged in March. The surge is largely attributed to energy prices, which had been dragging growth due to a base effect. A base effect that was set to expire in April, and set to compound with soaring […]
Canadians said goodbye to lower gas prices and hello to higher inflation last month, as the Iran War shocks global oil markets. Gas prices made the sharpest surge on record in March, according to BMO Capital Markets. The bank warns this will drive the Consumer Price Index (CPI) much higher, even before considering the spillover […]
Canada’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 1.8% in February, according to Statistics Canada (StatCan) data. Before the rate-cut cheerleading begins, take note: the headline number has been artificially suppressed by base effects and methodological quirks impacting readings over the past year. February marks the end of the first major one, with the biggest impact […]
Canadian inflation is slowing, but most households are unlikely to be feeling that relief. Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) Consumer Price Index (CPI) decelerated in January, fueling speculation that rate cuts may be on the horizon. A closer look reveals the entire deceleration can be accounted for by just mobile phone plans. Not because households are forking […]
The Canadian economy is doing better than expected, and things will slow but be fine. That’s the takeaway one gets reading the summary of the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) January Monetary Policy Report (MPR). However, a dive into the full 44-page report reveals that narrative is a statistical mirage, supported by contradictory data points the […]
Temporary factors have muted inflation, but they’re starting to fade. Statistics Canada (StatCan) data show the Consumer Price Index (CPI) accelerated in December. Excluding gas sends the value soaring, hitting the Bank of Canada’s upper bound. One bright spot is the slowdown in shelter costs, but the distribution was uneven. Only homeowners are seeing slowing […]
Canadian inflation has been driven by two key pressure points in recent years: shelter and food. Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) data shows shelter inflation is finally cooling, helping to keep the Consumer Price Index (CPI) stable in November. But BMO Capital Markets is warning investors that the other half of the problem is flaring up again—food […]
One of Canada’s biggest drivers of inflation is overstated, according to a Big Six bank. A new report from CIBC Economics warns investors that official CPI rent inflation overstates growth. This implies the Bank of Canada (BoC) may be keeping rates higher than needed. It’s a disturbing argument with one problem: It’s not clear if […]
