Tag: BoC Market Participant Survey

Canada

Bank of Canada Survey Puts 1-In-3 Odds of Recession By March 2026

November 10, 2025

Canada’s odds of recession remain above 1 in 3, according to the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) Market Participants Survey (MPS) for Q3 2025. The survey of banks, asset managers, and investment firms shows markets still expect a downturn within 6 months—and optimism is eroding even among the most upbeat respondents. Markets Give 1 In 3 […]

Canada

Canadian Recession Probability Rises, Era of Low Rates Over: BoC

April 29, 2025

Canada’s business community is bracing itself for a downturn in the near future. The Bank of Canada (BoC) released the results of its Market Participant Survey (MPS) for Q1 2025. The survey, a poll of financial market experts, shows expectations for GDP growth have fallen, while the probability of a recession has climbed sharply. The […]