Canada’s economy is growing, but don’t let the headline data fool you—the country is still heading for recession. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) gross domestic product (GDP) data showed big growth in Q3 2022. However, taking a dive past the headline number reveals things aren’t as great as they might appear. Household spending made a rare […]
Canadian real estate found its footing last month, according to the industry. However, Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data tells a completely different story in the October numbers. Yes, seasonally adjusted home sales were higher than the month before, but it was still the worst October since the Global Financial Crisis. Home prices also saw […]
Every asset bubble has common issues, and leads to a scramble to identify which bubble we’re in. After all, if you identify which bubble this is like, you might be able to identify the outcome. BMO Capital Markets shared the similarities of this cycle with five major booms-and-busts. Here’s what’s similar, and what isn’t. Post-War […]
Canada’s variable rate mortgage borrowers—brace yourself. BMO Capital Markets has made another upward revision to its interest rate forecast this week. The bank was forced to make a revision as sticky inflation and rising wages require much higher interest rates to cool activity. Canada’s overnight policy rate is now forecast to hit the highest level […]
Canada’s real estate industry wanted weaker stress testing, but it may have been too weak. That’s the take from BMO Capital Markets, who recently crunched the numbers. As interest rates climb, the majority of borrowers will be able to easily manage higher costs. However, recent buyers are facing rates even higher than they had been […]
Canada’s oldest bank would like a little more clarity from the country’s central bank, going forward. BMO Economics wrote to investors this week, arguing the Bank of Canada (BoC) needs to be more transparent about their inflation data. After delivering a smaller-than-expected rate hike, the BoC presented a chart to justify its move. The data […]
Canadian real estate prices are plummeting, but have a long way to go before the froth dissipates. BMO warned investors over the long weekend that home prices deviated from the trend by up to 76% in Q1 2022. Home prices historically only add a small premium to real wage growth and interest rates. However, Canada […]
Canadian real estate entered a bear market as higher rates killed excess demand, and BMO sees things getting worse in the coming months.
Canadian real estate sales are fading quickly as interest rates rise, proving this was an issue of excess demand from too much stimulus.
BMO made a downward revision to its Canadian real estate forecast as the bank notes a surge in cancelled listings and failed closings.
