Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Mortgage Quality Has “Deteriorated”: Bank Of Canada Newly issued mortgage debt is going to highly indebted mortgage borrowers. These borrowers represent 21.7% of mortgages issued in Q4 2020, a new record high. It even dwarfed the previous record set in 2016, […]
One of the Big Six Canadian banks is seeing an uptick in delinquencies in a key Canadian real estate market. CIBC generally observed a decline in delinquencies for uninsured mortgages in Q2 2021. The data, presented to institutional debt investors, did have one exception — Vancouver. Greater Vancouver’s uninsured mortgage delinquencies made an unexpected surge […]
The Canadian economy is improving, excluding some minor hiccups like this morning’s GDP. An improved economy needs less stimulus, and that means higher mortgage rates. To see what Canada is in for, we modeled a forecast range for 5-year fixed-rate mortgages. If Canada doesn’t go into a double-dip recession, much higher mortgage rates are coming. […]
Canadians aren’t defaulting, but that’s the only thing healthy about household credit. TransUnion (TU) released their Credit Industry Indicator (CII) this month. The index gauges the overall health of consumer credit using various factors. Despite a booming mortgage market, credit health is still far from pre-pandemic levels. It only made minor improvements since the biggest […]
Canadian mortgage rates are so low, how could you not buy a little more house? The rate of interest for a mortgage in Canada recently fell below the rate of inflation. This rarely happens, and the last time real mortgage rates were this negative was over 40 years ago. That was in the middle of […]
Never has it been so obvious that government data on housing costs don’t reflect the cost of buying. Home prices are on a tear, and while CPI’s shelter component is high, it’s miles away from soaring home costs. That’s because of the way it’s measured, says BMO chief economist Douglas Porter. Here’s his breakdown on […]
Canadian inflation should be smooth sailing, coming in low and stable from now on. A small catch though — your cost of living may not actually see low inflation. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) consumer price index (CPI) data shows an unexpected slowdown in June. The popular interpretation for today’s release is, this proves high inflation […]
Canadian home builders have faced soaring labor and material costs, and now there’s confirmation. The Statistics Canada (Stat Can) building construction price index made a record climb in the second quarter of 2021. Costs jumped significantly higher for homebuilders, even if just compared to non-residential construction. Homebuilders saw the fastest increases in “hot” housing markets […]
Canadian real estate is cooling from record demand, and luxury homes are no exception. Global luxury brokerage Engel & Völkers (E&V) released its latest luxury market report. They looked at markets with homes priced over $1 million and found sales slowed recently. In the near term, this should help the market normalize and stabilize price […]
High inflation is probably transitory, and central banks should tell people that… but totally be ready in case they aren’t. That’s the take from the IMF today, who released its latest global outlook. The agency said high inflation should ease, and central banks should communicate that message. However, it may not be transitory, and monetary […]
