Canadian real estate prices will get post-election support, but risks are piling up. Sal Guatieri, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, wrote to clients on the boom and risk of real estate. He sees policy enthusiasm and a lack of inventory boosting existing-home prices near-term. As prices continue to rise, he warns the risks […]
Dust off the disco ball and rolled up dollar bills, because the 1970s are back. At least the signs of 70s-style stagflation are forming, according to one of Canada’s Big Six banks. National Bank of Canada (NBC) chief economist Stéfane Marion warned clients of the rising risk of global stagflation. Rising oil prices, soaring food […]
Canadians were given a boost to affordability when rates were cut at the start of the pandemic. The Bank of Canada‘s housing affordability index fell to the most affordable level in over a decade. By cutting interest costs, households can finance debt more cheaply, improving affordability. It also happens to increase demand though, pushing home […]
Canadian real estate is in for a short-term boost, but market factors are likely to cool demand. BMO‘s Robert Kavcic’s latest research note covered Toronto real estate’s September boom. The bank’s senior economist sees a short-term boost to demand, as conditions tighten. This should be tempered by a rising rate environment in the not-so-distant future. […]
Ontario residents are leaving the province, but where are they heading? Statistics Canada (Stat Can) interprovincial migration data for Q2 2021 shows out West, mostly. Here’s where people fleeing Ontario have been heading during the pandemic. Ontario Lost Over 37,000 People To Other Provinces In Just A Quarter Ontario residents have been moving in unusually […]
Greater Toronto real estate prices are once again soaring after a post-election boom. Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) data shows composite home prices climbed in September. Price growth had been decelerating after peaking in the summer, but accelerated suddenly. Only one month of acceleration is too early to say the slowdown has reversed. However, […]
Canada’s biggest bank found more people are trading life in the big city for Atlantic living. RBC economist Carrie Freestone crunched the numbers of interprovincial migration for Q2 2021. She found prime demographics are finding their way to Atlantic Canada. The migration was mostly from expensive provinces like Ontario and Alberta. Atlantic Canada Just Saw […]
Greater Vancouver real estate prices got an abrupt bump last month. Composite home prices jumped in September, according to the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV). Prior to last month, the market had been slowing after large growth over the past year. Even with a recent boom, homeowners that bought at the previous peak […]
The Canadian real estate slowdown is getting started, as another leading indicator fades. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows building permit values fell in August. Since permits are for future activity, a decline means less building is coming. All the declines were due to a drop in residential permits, which has fallen sharply from its […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s most important stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian GDP Slips Lower As The Real Estate Boom Turns Into A Drag Canadian real GDP contracted in the most recent data, partially due to a housing drag. Real GDP dropped 0.1% in July, following a 0.6% increase in June. The […]
