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Canada

Canadian Household Debt Is Surging, and Previous Quarter Revised 3 Points Higher

January 1, 2022

Canadian household debt problems are once again worsening, after taking a brief break. The ratio of household credit market debt to disposable income climbed in Q3 2021, according to Statistics Canada (Stat Can). Households are now borrowing debt at one of the fastest rates in half a decade. Unfortunately, their incomes aren’t rising in line […]

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Canada

Nearly All Canadian Real Estate Markets Saw More Subprime Buyers, Including Toronto

December 31, 2021

Canadian subprime real estate buyers are scrambling to join the housing gold rush. Earlier this week, we discussed the sharp climb in subprime mortgage borrowers in Q3 2021. Today we’ll break the Equifax data down by city and show the highest concentrations. All but three major cities in Canada saw their share of poor quality […]

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Canada | Toronto

Toronto Real Estate Is On Fire, But It’s Also Ontario’s Worst Performing Market

December 30, 2021

Toronto real estate prices are some of the fastest growing of any global hub, but it might seem slow at home. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows Toronto is the slowest growing market in Ontario. Small cities are growing up to 3x faster, closing the gap between the county’s economic engine.  Toronto Real Estate […]

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Canada | Toronto

The Toronto Real Estate Bubble Now Has 1 In 59 Workers Selling Homes

December 30, 2021

The Canadian real estate boom has produced a gold rush, and now everyone is trying to sell you a home. It’s a country-wide phenomenon, as people see a low barrier of entry and large commissions. However, nowhere has taken to the trend like Toronto, which now has more Realtors than teachers. A lot more. Not […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Provided Over 10% of GDP Growth

December 29, 2021

Canadian real estate’s economic contribution was slowing, but it’s back with a vengeance. Gross domestic product (GDP) made a big jump in October, with real estate doing a lot of the heavy lifting. A component, real estate and rental and leasing (RERL) provided over a tenth of the monthly GDP increase. RERL showed the biggest […]

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Canada

Canada’s Real Estate Bubble Has Buyers Paying 2x The Mortgage of Existing Owners

December 29, 2021

Canadian homeowners often say affordability isn’t that bad, new buyers just need to stretch further. That’s because they’re most likely unaware they’re paying half of what it takes to buy a home now. Equifax data shows an average homeowner pays half as much on a mortgage compared to buyers in Q3 2021. This trend has […]

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Canada

Canadian Subprime Real Estate Buyers Surged Higher Last Quarter

December 28, 2021

After taking a break at the start of the pandemic, Canadian real estate has seen subprime borrowers return. Equifax data shows an abrupt uptick in the share of new mortgages going to subprime borrowers in Q3 2021. It’s still a relatively small share, especially in contrast to historic levels. However, this is the first time […]

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Canada

Canadian HELOC Payments Rise 6% As Dependence On High Real Estate Prices Deepens

December 28, 2021

Canadians are tapping their home equity with payments that rival rent costs just a few years ago. TransUnion credit data shows monthly home equity line of credit (HELOC) payments have surged in Q3 2021. Making the increase more impressive is this occurred with falling interest costs. Canadians are betting high home prices are here to […]

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Canada

Most of Canada’s Uninsured Mortgage Borrowers Are Betting Against Rising Rates

December 27, 2021

Canada’s central bank warned real estate buyers to prepare for higher interest rates. It appears buyers are calling their bluff, opting for little rate protection on loans. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows the share of new mortgages with variable rates doubled in October. Interest costs on most new uninsured mortgages will rise with rates, […]

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Canada

Canada Sees New Mortgage Payments Rise 12% As Low Rates Turn Toxic

December 27, 2021

Canadian households have much bigger mortgage payments, even with cheap debt. Or maybe because of cheap debt? The average mortgage payment in Q3 2021 showed a big jump, according to TransUnion data. Instead of lowering payments, low rates have fueled record home sales and refinancing. The increased demand has driven home prices higher leading to […]

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