Toronto real estate continues to defy all odds, but this time it’s to the downside. Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) data shows prices fell further in January, extending a crash that now rivals the largest in the country’s history. Sales are still weak, as the investor-dominated market remains out of reach for end-users. The […]
Canada’s largest real estate market runs on speculation, not housing demand. That’s the core message from the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) latest report, outlining the mechanics of a Ponzi scheme, without dropping the P-bomb. They warn that falling investor returns, driven by higher interest rates, now threaten builder models, suggesting these homes aren’t viable as […]
Canadian employers may be doing better than expected, but they aren’t showing much enthusiasm. Statistics Canada (StatCan) data show national job vacancies slipped in November, but it was far from a national trend. Five provinces showed monthly growth, with Saskatchewan and Alberta actually showing a substantial jump in hiring. The drag was primarily in BC […]
Canadians are behind on their bills, and the country’s banks have front row seats to this event. Canadian Bankers Association (CBA) data shows the arrears rate rose in November. It was only a small bump among its member banks, but enough to hit a 5-year high. Excluding the initial shock in 2020, the rate is […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian GDP Growth 23% Smaller Than BoC Forecast Just 2 Days Ago Canada’s economy is shrinking, according to the latest data from Statistics Canada. Real GDP was flat in November, following a 0.3% drop in October. As a result, the agency expects […]
Canada’s economy stumbled in November, with Statistics Canada (StatCan) data showing flat growth. Not much of a drag, but enough that it shaves nearly a quarter of the growth the Bank of Canada forecast just a few days ago. For national data, that’s not noise—it’s a massive gap, and the most likely explanation raises more […]
Most Canadian real estate markets have resisted the national price decline—but that resilience is cracking. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows the price of a typical home fell in December, with only PEI and Quebec posting gains. While most of the downward pressure has been concentrated in Ontario and BC, Nova Scotia abruptly posted […]
Canada’s taking a break from population growth to work on itself for a bit. Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) latest population growth projections reveal the impact of immigration policies and Millennials reaching their demographic peak. BMO Capital Markets explained to investors that this confirms a “major population growth adjustment,” where growth grinds to virtually zero before gradually […]
The Canadian economy is doing better than expected, and things will slow but be fine. That’s the takeaway one gets reading the summary of the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) January Monetary Policy Report (MPR). However, a dive into the full 44-page report reveals that narrative is a statistical mirage, supported by contradictory data points the […]
Canadian household debt isn’t just a risk to overindebted borrowers, but a growing risk for financial stability. That’s one of the key takeaways from the IMF’s latest report on Canada, which finds the financial system resilient overall. However, the agency flags elevated household debt as a vulnerability to the broad economy that risks amplifying future […]
