Canada’s mortgage stress tests seemed excessive last year, but they were insufficient. The recent Bank of Canada (BoC) rate hike pushed a number of variable rate borrowers above their stress test rate. BMO warns these borrowers haven’t been risk-tested for the current environment. Canadian Mortgage Borrowers Haven’t Been Stress Tested For Rates This High The […]
The US real estate industry laughs at your negative outlook—they think things are about to boom. Realtor.com released its 2023 forecast this week, and noted the negative factors building. Their forecast includes higher financing costs, reduced leverage, fewer exist-home sales, and a lot more inventory. However, their forecast bizarrely concludes it will result in higher […]
Canadian real estate showed some encouraging signs last month, but don’t be fooled. RBC Economics wrote to clients breaking down major markets that have reported November sales. Canada’s largest bank warned that the market is still firmly in correction mode, with just a few exceptions. Despite minor signs of firming, they see real estate markets […]
Cracks in America’s booming job market are starting to appear, warned Canada’s oldest bank. BMO Capital Markets outlined a divergence between US payroll and household-survey employment. The bank warns this is the largest divergence on record, outside of the pandemic—indicating the market might be weaker than it appears. US Payroll and Household Employment The US […]
Greater Vancouver real estate prices were slow to respond to higher rates, but it’s making up for lost time. Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) data shows composite home prices made a sharp drop in November 2022. Since peaking earlier this year, the price of a typical home has dropped by more than $130,000, […]
Greater Toronto real estate prices continue to fall, but City prices may have just taken a nosedive. Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) data shows composite home prices fell in November 2022. The price of a typical home has dropped nearly a quarter-million dollars since peaking earlier this year. With higher interest rates still to […]
US home prices made lofty gains over the pandemic—a bigger run up than the one seen before the Great Recession. It’s going to be difficult to not see a significant chunk of those gains given back to the market, warned the Dallas Fed. Researchers from the US Federal Reserve branch warn severe recession is still […]
The Great Canadian Real Estate Slowdown is set to continue into the future. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows the value of building permits fell in October. The drop in permits shows less building activity is planned, especially for residential building. It sounds like bad news, but it might not be. Falling land and building […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate The Canadian Real Estate Bubble Is Popping As Mortgage Rates Throttle Credit Canadian real estate prices got a boost from low rates, now the opposite is happening. A typical home fell to $735,000 in October, down 15.3% from the peak, wiping out […]
Low rates led to a global real estate boom, now expected to correct as interest costs rise. This week, Oxford Economics warned a sharp global real estate correction is approaching. Rising rates, weak demand, and falling construction prices will take a lot of the froth out of the market. Global Real Estate Prices Expected To […]
