Toronto

Toronto Detached Real Estate Sales Improve, But Still Way Below Peak

Toronto’s detached real estate market is making big improvements into the end of the year. Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) data shows prices increased in October. Prices moved higher on improved demand, however, both prices and demand are weaker than they were at peak.

Toronto Detached Real Estate Prices Rise Over 3%

The price of a typical detached home in Greater Toronto moved higher last month. TREB reported a benchmark price of $952,200 in October, up 4.12% from last year. The City of Toronto benchmark reached $1,144,800, up 3.20% from last year. Suburban prices are rising much faster than city prices.

Toronto Detached Benchmark Price

The price of a typical detached home across the Toronto Real Estate Board, in Canadian dollars.

Source: TREB, Better Dwelling.

Price growth across Greater Toronto is accelerating, but prices are still below peak. Both the TREB and City of Toronto benchmark show higher 12-month growth than they did this time last year. Last year in the City of Toronto, prices were negative though – so the increase is a little less impressive. Prices remain over 9% below peak across TREB, and almost 7% in the City of Toronto. The benchmark is improving, but definitely isn’t overheating.

Toronto Detached Benchmark Percent Change

The 12 month percent change of a typical detached home across the Toronto Real Estate Board.

Source: TREB, Better Dwelling.

The median sale price for detached homes in Greater Toronto show mixed movement. The median sale price across TREB reached $884,000 in October, up 4% from the same month last year. The City of Toronto fell to $1,025,000, down 2.38% from last year. Prices are rising quickly in the suburbs, but falling by this measure in the city.

Toronto Detached Average Sale Price

The average sale price of a detached house in the Toronto Real Estate Board.

Source: TREB, Better Dwelling.

The average sale price fell between the two other price metrics for growth. TREB reported an average sale price of $1,049,300 in October, up 2.93% from last year. The City of Toronto reached $1,323,015, up just 0.89% from last year. The average sale price isn’t adjusted for size or quality, so it’s fairly volatile. However, it is a good confirmation point for price direction, and tells us about dollar flow.

Toronto Detached Average Sale Price Change

The 12 month percent change of average sale price across across TREB.

Source: TREB, Better Dwelling.

Greater Toronto Detached Real Estate Sales Rise Almost 19%

The number of detached sales made a big jump from last year. TREB reported 3,960 sales in October, up 18.99% from the same month last year. The City of Toronto represented 1,034 of the sales, up 17.23% over the same period. This is the highest number of sales since 2016, but they need to rise significantly to clear that barrier.

Toronto Detached April Sales

The total number of Greater Toronto detached sales made in the month of October.

Source: TREB, Better Dwelling.

Greater Toronto Detached Inventory Falls Over 14%

The number of new listings made a sharp drop. TREB reported 6,961 new listings in October, down 8.48% from last year. The City of Toronto represents 1,773 of those listings, down 4.52% from last year.

Toronto Detached Sales Vs. New Listings

The total number of detached sales, compared to the number of new detached listings per month.

Source: TREB, Better Dwelling.

Stronger sales and fewer new listings sent inventory tumbling. TREB reported 9,772 active listings for detached homes in October, down 14.82% from last year. The City of Toronto represented 2,074 of those listings, down 9.55% from last year. This is the lowest level of inventory for the month since 2016, but it’s 60.66% higher than that year. Lower, but not nearly as scarce as it was just a few years ago.

Toronto Active Detached Listings

The total number of detached listings available.

Source: TREB, Better Dwelling.

The Toronto detached real estate market is seeing huge improvements. Prices are rising, sales are higher, and inventory is falling. However, demand (and prices) are still pretty distant from where it was just a few years ago.

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2 Comments

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  • Reply
    Matt 3 weeks ago

    What’s the acceptable spread between a one bedroom condo, and a fully detached house? Because right now, it’s only about $300k from what I’m seeing in the market. One comes without ridiculous maintenance fees that cover absolutely nothing.

  • Reply
    Elvira 3 weeks ago

    where will rents go in 2020? I need to find a basic but decent 3 bedroom town in rexdale.
    will rents jump 40% in thd new year?

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