Canadian real estate revived an old risk: mortgage debt is back in the driver’s seat. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows household credit climbed again in August, driven almost entirely by mortgage debt. While borrowing remains historically slow, mortgages are still growing much faster than other forms of credit—now accounting for nearly 8 in 10 […]
Canada saw foreign investment return, but it wasn’t the positive indicator it normally signals. Statistics Canada (StatCan) data shows foreign investors recorded a net inflow of $25.9 billion in August, the most in over a year. Nearly all of it was debt demand, though not the kind policymakers brag about. Investors skipped government bonds, equities, […]
Canadian real estate sellers all had the same brilliant idea last month: list before inventory surges. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows September sales hit a multi-year high, but the volume remained tepid—especially in contrast to the record flood of new listings. Market balance is now the weakest since the ’90s real estate crash, […]
Canada just got another recession warning—falling new vehicle sales. Statistics Canada (StatCan) data shows new motor vehicle sales fell sharply in August, marking the biggest drop for the month since 2010. Durable goods like vehicles and homes see sales fall after the peak of the business cycle, signaling a recession that can’t be managed with […]
Canadian real estate developers are pulling back, even as policymakers flood the system with incentives. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows residential building permit values plunged in August, and the drop was even larger after adjusting for inflation. Canadian homebuilders are sending a clear warning signal: the risk is rising even faster than the astronomical […]
Canada may be fighting trade wars on two fronts, but its job market didn’t get the memo. Statistics Canada (StatCan) data show the country added tens of thousands of jobs in September. Heck, the data even shows a 6-figure addition of full-time jobs over the 30-day period. Suspicious? You’re onto something. Let’s talk about the […]
Canada’s job market oversold and underdelivered. Statistics Canada (StatCan) data contained a special Labour Force Survey (LFS) supplement examining labour market efficiency in September. The data reveals a huge mismatch—1 in 6 Canadians aren’t working in their field of post-secondary training, and a fifth are overqualified for the work they found. The problem is even […]
Canadian mortgage delinquencies are climbing at the fastest pace in a generation, and that’s only the visible part of the problem. Equifax data shows the rate continued its sharp ascent in Q2 2025, up from record lows barely two years ago. The trend offers only a glimpse of the broader credit stress now rapidly emerging […]
Halifax real estate is pitched as an affordable alternative to Toronto, once the world’s second-largest bubble. That pitch was successful, helping prices nearly double over just two years. There’s just one problem—Toronto’s condo bubble has popped, with prices falling 21% and all signs pointing to further declines. With Halifax condo prices near all-time highs, the […]
One of Canada’s largest banks just delivered bad news for real estate investors—it’s a bubble already deflating. BMO Capital Markets warns that home prices have been sliding for over three years, more closely resembling the US housing crash in 2007 than Ontario’s last correction. The bank expects a long, drawn-out recovery, cautioning it’s “next to […]
