The Canadian economy is weakening but not enough to cut rates. That was the takeaway in a new National Bank of Canada Financial (NBF) report. The bank’s chief rate strategist still sees the country’s economy weakening, but it’s recently provided just enough positive data to convince the Bank of Canada (BoC) hold off on any […]
Canadians are suddenly big savers while Americans are spending like drunken sailors on pay day. On the surface, that sounds like good news for Canada but it’s traditionally a sign of growing consumer hesitance, slowing the economy. At the same time, the resilient American consumer is leaning into further consumption, pushing their economy to defy […]
Canada’s economy is proving to be more resilient than virtually all analysts had anticipated. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows real gross domestic product (GDP) climbed in Q4, driving annual growth into positive territory. Accompanying the gain was an upward revision to the previous quarter’s decline, revealing an economy that may struggle with growth but […]
Canada is proving that a massive population boom doesn’t always mean a booming economy. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows the number of active businesses slipped lower in November. A lot more businesses have been shuttering their doors recently, and fewer entrepreneurs are interested in replacing them. Canadian Businesses Peaked Back In January 2023 Canadians […]
The Canadian and US economies are tightly integrated, and tend to provide similar data for their central banks to move together. That’s no longer the case, as Canada’s economy grinds to a halt and inflation spirals back towards target. Meanwhile, the US economy continues to outperform expectations. Will economic divergence result in diverging monetary policy? […]
Canada has experienced tremendous success selling labor on opportunity. It’s not having nearly as much luck convincing investors of the same. That was the take from BMO Capital Markets, warning the TSX saw a record sell off from foreign investors. The institution warns this is just part of a larger issue of domestic and global […]
Canadian inflation data shows growth is slowing much faster than anticipated. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) released the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January, showing annual growth slowed significantly more than the consensus forecast. Most of the remaining pressure driving inflation is being driven by mortgage interest costs. If excluded, like in many advanced economies, CPI […]
Debt-crazed Canadians may not be borrowing to buy a home, but they are borrowing—a lot. Bank of Canada (BoC) data reveals outstanding mortgage credit made a small climb in December, at an unusually slow pace. Mortgage debt is now growing at the slowest rate in over two decades, with home prices now firmly placed out […]
Canadian policymakers are sprinting across the country to rain cash to stimulate homebuilding. Unfortunately, it’s not working with new housing starts actually falling further from targets in January. BMO wrote to investors to explain this is predictable, since the targets were unrealistic and will never be hit. Partially due to the lack of resources available […]
Canada’s attempt to use helicopter money to stimulate building may have the opposite impact. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) building construction rose in December, which sounds like cause for celebration. However, when examined in real terms, it was the worst December in at least five years. Rising interest rates might be the first suspect that comes […]
