The AI revolution requires an unprecedented build-out of data centers. At least, that’s how the narrative goes. A quick peek at the data reveals a funny detail—most aren’t being built. An energy shortage? Nah, most don’t even apply for a connection to the power grid. This is about a little tax code change that sparked […]
Canada’s banks are bracing themselves for the fallout from the real estate bubble. Last week, the CMHC warned that the share of mortgages in arrears will climb further—especially in Ontario. The banks seem to agree, as the data shows they’ve been preparing for a sharp increase in mortgage losses. The median allowance for mortgage losses […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian GDP Stalls, Propped Up By Retail And Credit Cards Canadian economic output is starting to struggle. Real GDP was flat for a second straight month in August, with only 9 out of 20 industrial sectors showing growth. Stalling appears to be […]
The Canadian economy has stalled, and the details offer little reassurance. Real GDP was flat in August for a second straight month, according to Statistics Canada (StatCan). Retail and credit card activity helped support output, an ominous combination as credit industry reports point to rising balances and delinquencies. The agency’s preliminary September estimate suggests that […]
Canada’s national housing agency is bearish on real estate over the near term. The CMHC’s latest forecast shows Canadian Bankers Association (CBA) mortgage arrears climbing into 2027. The trend is driven almost entirely by a surge in Ontario. That suggests they might be underestimating the fallout, since home prices in other provinces are only just […]
The Ontario real estate downturn is expected to worsen. Mortgage arrears in the province are approaching 2008 levels, according to the CMHC. The risk is even further amplified in Greater Toronto, especially with private lenders. The agency warns Ontario’s sharpest and most persistent surge in arrears will persist through mid-2027. Ontario’s Real Estate Boom and […]
Canada’s central bank raised its key policy rate as it tries to tame rising inflation. The Bank of Canada (BoC) hiked its overnight rate 25 basis points to 2.5% this morning, its first hike in over 3 years. In the accompanying report, the BoC warns of elevated inflation into mid-2028. Higher input and financing costs […]
Canada’s real estate correction has largely been concentrated in one province, but that may change soon. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows prices fell in September. All but one province moved lower, with BC going from resilient to leading the way lower in the past year. Other provinces, some of which hit record highs […]
Canada’s real estate industry often argues the central bank should ignore shelter inflation and keep rates low to boost supply. A new Bank of Canada (BoC) staff paper tests both claims, and neither holds up as a blanket rule. The researchers find that ignoring shelter inflation during a demand-driven boom is destabilizing to the economy […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Real Estate Prices To Fall Even Further: Oxford Economics The Canadian housing crash is already the largest on record, and it may not be over. Oxford Economics is forecasting prices and sales falling further through early 2027. Higher rates, elevated energy […]
