Canadian mortgages are getting a lot more expensive as bond yields surge higher. The benchmark Government of Canada (GoC) bonds are climbing, influencing fixed-term mortgage costs. Canada hasn’t seen this kind of pressure on bond yields since the 90s, at the peak of the last tightening cycle. This cycle, however, is just getting started. Expect […]
Canadian real estate prices have increased at such a rapid pace, incomes aren’t even close. US Federal Reserve calculations show home prices in Canada have increased multiples of the rate of income growth as of Q3 2021. Most people have some idea how strange this situation is, but we need to zoom out to appreciate […]
Canada’s central bank is forecast to increase their fight against inflation. BMO Capital Markets released its latest forecast showing more aggressive rate hikes. They now see the Bank of Canada (BoC) hiking at double the previous forecast for at least two meetings. The accelerated hikes are just a part of the central bank’s battle to […]
Canada’s excessive low rate policy has created a wave of speculative housing demand. That demand can end very quickly, as interest rates climb and real estate price growth slows. In a weekend note to clients, BMO explains it’s a less than ideal time to expect home prices to grow. Rising rates won’t have much of […]
Opening Statement by Stephen Punwasi Better Dwelling Appearance before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance March 24, 2022 Good afternoon Committee, and thank you for the invite. My name’s Stephen Punwasi, and I’m the chief data analyst at Better Dwelling, Canada’s largest independent housing news source. Some of you might be familiar with […]
The supply shortage pushing Canadian real estate buyers to the limit doesn’t exist. It’s an unexpected take from the Union of British Columbia Municipalities (UBCM). The Government report, building on SFU City Program Director Andy Yan’s research, shows BC’s housing supply kept pace with its population. This follows a BMO Capital Markets report showing Ontario’s […]
Canada’s largest bank doesn’t see much happening in real estate over the next year. RBC risk models show the bank expects almost no price growth over the next 12 months, and modest growth at best. At worst, the bank sees a 30% drop in home prices and 18 months of deteriorating conditions. Base and Alternative […]
Canadian real estate prices might be soaring, but mortgage growth is hitting a wall. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows mortgage credit hit a new record in January 2022. Annual growth is still close to the highest level since 2008, but several signs show we’re past the peak. With rising interest rates shrinking mortgage budgets, […]
Canadians aren’t keen on the prospects of buying a home, according to a mortgage industry report. Mortgage Pros Canada (MPC), a trade association representing mortgage brokers, released its Semi-Annual State of The Mortgage Market. One of the key data points is a consumer survey used to gauge the public’s sentiment on the market. They found […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Real Estate Prices Expected To Drop 24%, Can Crash 40%: Oxford Economics Oxford Economics just warned clients that home prices are in for a correction. The global forecasting firm sees Canadian home prices falling 24% by mid-2024. Previously they expected a […]
