Canadian employment doesn’t look like it moved much, but under the surface was a giant shift. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows the number of jobs virtually unchanged in July, growing 1.7% (+345k jobs) over the past year. As a result, the unemployment rate was also flat at 6.4%, adding 0.9 points from last year. […]
Priced out of housing and now facing an eroding labor market, Canada’s young adults can’t catch a break. A new report from National Bank of Canada (NBF) warns that unemployment is on the rise across the country, but it’s surging for young adults (15 to 24 years old). The demographic is seeing unemployment rise much […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Credit Demand Is Rapidly Collapsing Despite Population Growth Canadian households aren’t borrowing, which may indicate that they’re weaker than they appear. Annual household credit growth advanced 3.4% in May, just 0.2 points above the cycle’s low hit in October 2023. The […]
Canadians aren’t acting like themselves and it may be a sign of a more concerning trend brewing. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows annual household credit growth decelerated in May. Just off multi-decade lows, despite cheaper credit on the way, households are pulling back on borrowing. The low growth for borrowing is even more concerning […]
Canada’s economy beat expectations but dive into the details before celebrating. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows real gross domestic product (GDP) grew faster-than-expected in May. However, even with a rapid public sector expansion driving half the advance, it failed to meet population growth. As a result, Canada’s GDP per capita recession printed an 8th […]
Canada’s banks have dominated Greater Toronto’s investor mortgage market. CIBC data shows the Big Five captured 75% of investor mortgages on condos completed in Toronto in 2023. There’s just one problem-most of those mortgages are cash flow negative—the rent fails to match the payment, property taxes, and maintenance fees on the unit. The Big Five […]
Canada’s central bank sees real estate becoming an even stronger part of the economy. Bank of Canada (BoC) announced a cut to its key interest rate this morning, as widely expected by markets. The central bank justified the decision by noting the progress made on inflation, as well as excess supplies and labor market slack. […]
The Bank of Canada (BoC) is widely expected to cut its overnight rate this week, but it won’t boost real estate activity. That was the take from BMO Capital Markets, which sees little to no impact from the move. In a research note to investors, the bank explains that bond markets have already priced in […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canada’s CMHC Internal Messages Show Housing Supply Narrative Is BS Canadian real estate prices are expensive because of a lack of supply, and building more should fix it—right? That’s been the narrative for years, but it’s not what the CMHC has been […]
Canadian inflation got a bump in last month’s report; new data shows it was just noise. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows the Consumer Price Index (CPI) growth rate slipped in June. The headline inflation measure came in below analyst expectations, clearing the way for the Bank of Canada (BoC) to cut rates further this […]
