Canadian consumer insolvencies are surging to levels not seen since the financial crisis, despite stronger employment. The Office of the Superintendent of Bankruptcy (OSB) just reported the highest September filings since 2009, countering any recent signs of improvement. If anything, the trend appears to be just getting started. Canadian Insolvencies Surge To Highest Level Since […]
Canada’s growth engine has long been small businesses, but the country is all in on large firms. BMO Capital Markets warns that while large firms make up only a small share of total employment, they’ve accounted for virtually all job gains in 2025. The bank cautions that this imbalance is amplifying downturn risks and could […]
Canada’s odds of recession remain above 1 in 3, according to the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) Market Participants Survey (MPS) for Q3 2025. The survey of banks, asset managers, and investment firms shows markets still expect a downturn within 6 months—and optimism is eroding even among the most upbeat respondents. Markets Give 1 In 3 […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Fitch Warns Canada of Credit Downgrade—That’s Bad News For Mortgages Canada’s supersized budget may soon cost households a lot more to borrow. Fitch Ratings warns the country faces a downgrade from AA+ to AA, citing gross debt more than twice the peer […]
Canada’s latest budget could cost households more than just higher taxes. Fitch Ratings warns Canada’s sovereign credit rating is at risk of a downgrade, citing persistently large deficits and no credible path back to fiscal normalcy. A downgrade would act as a red flag for investors—eroding confidence and raising borrowing costs across the economy, from […]
Canada’s job market showed surprising growth last month, according to Statistics Canada (StatCan). The agency’s latest Labour Force Survey (LFS) shows employment climbed sharply in October, marking a second consecutive month of growth. Employment was so strong that multiple jobholders surged, and seniors—who typically face hurdles to new employment—represented over 1 in 3 workers who […]
The Government of Canada (GoC) surprised investors this week with a budget that pairs soaring deficits with minimal new borrowing. If that sounds off, it is. Budget 2025 relies heavily on financial engineering, with a significant portion of its funding already issued—it’s November 2025, remember? Banks warn bond issuance is set to soar within months, […]
Vancouver real estate prices have been resilient, but they may have just run out of luck. Data from Greater Vancouver Realtors (GVR), formerly the REBGV, shows prices made a sharp drop in October. A market known for scarce inventory has seen a sudden influx of listings amid weak sales, pushing inventory to one of the […]
Greater Toronto real estate shattered hopes of a turnaround. Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) data shows home prices fell for a fifth consecutive month in October, hitting the lowest level in over four years. At the same time, weak demand and a surge of sellers pushed inventory to a record high. Toronto Real Estate […]
Canadians earned less last year—but not across the board. New taxfiler data from Statistics Canada (StatCan) shows the country’s top earners barely budged in 2023, even as most earners saw their income eroded by inflation. But the real insight isn’t who made the most—it’s how they made it. As poorly targeted policies continue to penalize […]
