The Government of Canada (GoC) surprised investors this week with a budget that pairs soaring deficits with minimal new borrowing. If that sounds off, it is. Budget 2025 relies heavily on financial engineering, with a significant portion of its funding already issued—it’s November 2025, remember? Banks warn bond issuance is set to soar within months, […]
Vancouver real estate prices have been resilient, but they may have just run out of luck. Data from Greater Vancouver Realtors (GVR), formerly the REBGV, shows prices made a sharp drop in October. A market known for scarce inventory has seen a sudden influx of listings amid weak sales, pushing inventory to one of the […]
Greater Toronto real estate shattered hopes of a turnaround. Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) data shows home prices fell for a fifth consecutive month in October, hitting the lowest level in over four years. At the same time, weak demand and a surge of sellers pushed inventory to a record high. Toronto Real Estate […]
Canadians earned less last year—but not across the board. New taxfiler data from Statistics Canada (StatCan) shows the country’s top earners barely budged in 2023, even as most earners saw their income eroded by inflation. But the real insight isn’t who made the most—it’s how they made it. As poorly targeted policies continue to penalize […]
Canada’s recent real estate boom—and bust—was followed by an immigration surge charting a similar trajectory. Together, they expose generous high-leverage mortgage programs that shift risk off lender books and onto public and private insurers. These programs enabled buyers with minimal credit and few local ties to purchase homes at peak prices. With values now plunging, […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canada Uses US Bubble Scheme To Transfer Investor Risk To Home Buyers Ontario is the latest province to offer sales tax relief to first-time buyers of new homes. The move follows federal incentives announced earlier this year, adding to the recently introduced […]
Canada’s banks aren’t worried about mortgage arrears—but should they be? The arrears rate climbed again in August, according to the Canadian Bankers Association (CBA), which represents the country’s largest lenders. Investors have brushed off the rise as a return to normal after record lows. What they may not realize is that the late 1980s also […]
Toronto’s real estate downturn deepened last month, and new homes weren’t spared. Data from industry group BILD shows September sales hit a record low for the month, worse than the 1990s real estate crash. Most of the data looked ominous, but there was a curious detail—condo prices climbed, defying the demand collapse. That divergence may […]
The Bank of Canada (BoC) cut its overnight rate by 25 basis points to 2.25% this morning, citing weak investment and falling demand. It also reminded Canadians that monetary policy is meant to keep inflation low and stable—then promptly put that on the sideburner. The BoC warned that monetary policy won’t fix the current headwinds, […]
Canadian real estate went from boom to bust—but the biggest risk lies ahead. Ontario is the latest province to offer rebates for first-time buyers of new homes, building on recent federal incentives. Framed as affordability, these programs resemble US housing bubble schemes—designed to shift risk from investors to families, who absorb losses rather than default. […]
