Canadian real estate prices are pushing the limits of affordability. Not just for Canada, but any advanced economy. Canada came in second on the OECD house price to income ratio index. The index, measuring an affordability fundamental, shows the country’s housing is severely overvalued. It also reveals Canada has the second fastest growing gap between […]
Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canadian Real Estate Prices Expected To Drop 24%, Can Crash 40%: Oxford Economics Oxford Economics just warned clients that home prices are in for a correction. The global forecasting firm sees Canadian home prices falling 24% by mid-2024. Previously they expected a […]
Canadian real estate prices are unique due to how expensive it has become, but not when it comes to recent price growth. BMO chief economist Douglas Porter explained, once again, monetary policy drove prices higher. Central banks adopted “hyper-stimulative” policies to drive excess demand to push prices higher. To illustrate this, he contrasts Canada with […]
Canadian real estate prices might be in for a bit of a dip if one of the world’s leading forecasters is right. Oxford Economics’ latest forecast shows home prices falling 24% by mid-2024. Higher interest rates and anti-speculation policies are forecast to begin the price declines this fall. If these measures fail to correct prices […]
One of the biggest red flags for Canada’s real estate bubble is that banks have become prominent critics. BMO chief economist Douglas Porter reminded clients this isn’t a supply issue. The bank warned last year that price growth would accelerate without demand measures. Instead of taking that advice, policymakers doubled down on the supply narrative. […]
Canadian real estate prices are surging like never before, but the market is cooling. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows the inventory pressure eased in February. Despite big price gains, the SNLR revealed cooling conditions in 80% of major markets. Demand is forecast to cool further as rates rise and locked-in mortgages disappear. Sales […]
Canadian households briefly saw their debt issue shrink, but those days are long gone. According to Statistics Canada (Stat Can), the household debt to income ratio hit 186.23% in Q4 2021. The ratio had improved briefly as stores were closed and households paid down a little debt. The most recent update was massive though, reversing […]
The US is raising interest rates for the first time in years, and they plan to make up for lost time. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which governs the US Federal Reserve, announced a quarter-point hike today. This increases the federal funds rate lower (0.25%) and upper (0.50%) bounds for the first time since […]
Canadians are used to seeing their purchasing power vaporize, but not this fast. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows annual growth for the consumer price index (CPI) hit 5.7% in February. The measure of inflation is at the highest level of growth since August 1991. Meanwhile shelter, one of the largest weights in the CPI […]
Canada’s late 1980s real estate bubble was so big it resulted in a correction lasting over a decade. That might have been small in contrast to where the current one is heading. BMO senior economist Robert Kavcic says affordability is currently stretched with low rates. As rates go through normalization, the bubble is expected to […]
