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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Prices Climb For The First Time In Nearly A Year

March 15, 2023

Canadian real estate prices have been spiraling lower, but is a change in trend around the corner? Data from the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) shows that the price of a typical home increased in February. The national composite’s benchmark price had not moved higher since rate hikes began nearly a year ago. One increase […]

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Canada

Canadian Mortgage Rates May Drop If The Bond Yield Plunge Sticks

March 14, 2023

Canada was no exception to the retreat of global bond yields after the US banking crisis hit last week. The Government of Canada (GoC) 5-Year Bond yield plunged at one of the fastest rates in a generation. It wasn’t alone, with most yields falling—potentially signaling lower borrower costs. That is, if the panic-driven drop sticks […]

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Canada

Canadian Mortgage Payments Are Taking Up A Record Share of Income

March 13, 2023

Canadian real estate is sucking up the oxygen in the room once again, as rising rates pinch households. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows households are spending a record share of their disposable income on mortgage payments. Rising prices and rates are consuming even more income for payments than during the 90s bubble. However, this […]

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Top Stories

This Week’s Top Stories: Canada’s Banks Turn Bearish On Real Estate, & An Unregulated Mortgage Boom

March 12, 2023

Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Only One of Canada’s Big Six Banks Expects Real Estate Prices To Rise Canada’s Big Six banks have released their base case forecasts for real estate prices and only one of them expects prices to rise in the next year. RBC is […]

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Canada

Canada’s Subprime Mortgage Problem Is Growing As Private Loan Use Surges

March 10, 2023

A Canadian regulator is sounding the alarms on private mortgages, but are they too late? The Financial Services Regulatory Authority of Ontario (FSRA), which oversees mortgage brokers, recently issued a warning on the risks of private mortgages. They have observed a boom in consumers using these high interest loans, often paired with interest only repayment.  […]

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Canada

Only One of Canada’s Big Six Banks Expects Real Estate Prices To Rise

March 9, 2023

Canada’s “Big Six” banks are now some of the country’s biggest real estate bears. Quarterly regulatory filings reveal their forecasts used for risk planning, and capital allocation. Despite seeing long-term value, just one Big Six has forecast home prices rising over the next year. Most don’t see a quick recovery either, with some expecting prices […]

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Canada

Bank of Canada Holds Rates, But It Will Still Drive Borrowing Costs Higher

March 8, 2023

Canada’s central bank didn’t break its pause, but signaled it will still drive borrowing costs higher. This morning, the Bank of Canada (BoC) announced the overnight rate will hold at 4.5%, surprising few. They did just announce a pause at the last meeting, so reversing course was unlikely. However, that doesn’t mean borrowing costs won’t […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Correction Is Almost Over, But Bulls Will Be Disappointed: RBC

March 7, 2023

Canada’s largest bank believes the end of the real estate correction is within sight. That was the message in RBC’s latest housing brief, though that doesn’t mean price declines are over. The bank believes home prices are halfway to the bottom, and doesn’t anticipate a bounce until next year. However, they expect the market to […]

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Canada

Bank of Canada Is “Conditionally” Pausing Hikes, But What Does That Mean?

March 6, 2023

Canadians got a little relief after facing one of the most aggressive rate hikes in history. At the January meeting, the Bank of Canada (BoC) announced a “conditional pause” on further hikes. That leaves one big question that everyone is trying to figure out—what conditions could trigger further rate hikes?  Bank of Canada Is Worried […]

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Top Stories

This Week’s Top Stories: Canadian Real Estate Rules The Underground Economy, & Delinquencies Rise

March 5, 2023

Time for your cheat sheet on this week’s top stories. Canadian Real Estate Canada’s Real Estate Bubble Is Even Consuming Its Underground Economy One unfortunate consequence of a real estate bubble is the concentration of capital. As people spend more money on real estate, they have less to spend in other industries. This causes human […]

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