Canada’s economy isn’t just slowing down, it’s already in recession. That’s the take from prominent macro research firm Oxford Economics, whose latest research brief sees a hard landing coming. In the unlikely event a soft landing occurs, they see higher inflation and even higher interest rates. Canada Is Already In Recession, Hard Landing Expected The […]
Canadian policymakers have done a 180 when it comes to its open door policy for international students. The Government of Canada (GoC) announced a two year cap on study permits will be implemented soon. In addition, work permits will also become more difficult to obtain. The move comes after increased international scrutiny of the country’s […]
Canada’s largest bank sees no rate cuts next week, but it will still be an eventful week. RBC agrees with the consensus—they see the Bank of Canada (BoC) holding rates at the January announcement. They’ll be watching closely though, expecting the central bank to push back against any hints of rate cuts. Stronger-than-expected inflation data […]
Canadian real estate buyers have been motivated by falling mortgage rates, but that may change soon. Government of Canada (GoC) 5-year bond yields have been climbing sharply. The yield, which helps determine the cost of 5-year fixed rate mortgages, had been falling over the past few months, delivering relief to buyers. Over the course of […]
New data from the world’s largest central bank serves a reminder of just how batsh*t crazy Canada’s real estate bubble is. Housing bubble experts from the US Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (Dallas Fed) released its latest update of global home prices in Q3 2023. Most G7 countries moved in a similar fashion, rising with […]
Canadian headline inflation is heading in the wrong direction. The Statistics Canada (Stat Can) Consumer Price Index (CPI) shows annual growth at 3.4% in December, up 3.4 points compared to a month before. The rate is higher than anticipated, but attributed to the base effect of a few components. At least one prominent economist believes […]
Cheaper financing and talk of the end of rate hikes improved markets across the country. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows rising home sales in December. Diving into the data revealed a much more mixed picture though, with perceived improvements masking further erosion from last year. The conditions have economists at BMO warning investors […]
Canada’s economy has been making headlines for leading the G7, but many aren’t feeling the effects. That’s because gross domestic product (GDP) per capita has barely moved. Rather than growing the economy through economic improvements, Canada has only added more consumers through immigration. Adjusting for population, US households have seen their economic picture grow 10x […]
Exuberant Canadians are hooked on real estate, and consequently are following the central bank unusually close. A new report from BMO shows households have shifted price growth expectations with Bank of Canada (BoC) announcements. As the rate tightening cycle comes to an end, the bank sees the potential for the next round of central bank […]
Canadians are starting to feel the consequences of their debt addiction. MNP, Canada’s largest insolvency consultancy, released the results of its regular consumer debt survey. They found most consumers are struggling to repay their loans, and regret borrowing as much as they did. However, it’s not clear they could have prevented the borrowing if they […]
