Canada’s largest bank sees a lot of risk in real estate, just not where other people may see it. RBC Senior Economist Robert Hogue published a list of risks that may impact real estate markets near-term. The bank feels government aid kept prices moving higher, but the market is “far from risk free.” Here’s some […]
For Greater Toronto real estate, detached homes are living in 2017, while condos are stuck in 2009. Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) data shows home prices increased in February. When looked at in aggregate, the whole market is on fire. Breaking it down, there’s two distinct markets. Detached homes are adding multiple years of […]
Greater Vancouver suddenly has exuberant homebuyers once again, armed with cheap debt. Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) data shows composite prices made a big jump in February. Actually, almost all measures of home prices made a big leap. Some segments even added more than $44,000 to the value just last month. Let’s dive […]
Quarterly filings from one of Canada’s largest banks shows unusual weakness in Toronto. CIBC data shows their uninsured mortgage delinquency rate generally fell in Q1 2021. One notable exception is Greater Toronto, which is seeing the rate climb. A rise in the delinquency rate is unexpected for a market with high sale volumes and low […]
Most didn’t think it was possible, but this morning’s numbers show Canada is now more dependent on real estate. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) GDP data shows residential investment made a big climb in Q4 2020. The segment of investment has grown much faster than total GDP over the past few years. Canada is now almost […]
Canadian taxpayers more than made up for household income lost during the pandemic. A new study from Statistic Canada (Stat Can) shows the change of employment earnings in Q2 2020. On average, every demographic lost income. However, due to generous pandemic supports, some households received more than 3x the income lost. About Today’s Data Today […]
Canada’s low mortgage arrears rate isn’t as easy to unpack as it usually is. The Canadian Bankers Association (CBA) mortgage arrears rate dropped in November. That’s generally a good thing, but there’s a little more to it this time. Mortgages in arrears are rising in Ontario and B.C., but the rate is low due to […]
Greater Toronto new home sales have picked up, from usually low levels in prior years. Altus Group and BILD GTA data shows new homes sales climbed in January. One unexpected blip in the data is the City of Toronto, which actually saw a sharp decline in sales. It appears flight from the City isn’t just […]
Canada’s government bond market is seeing yields surge, and it’s going to be felt in real estate. The Government of Canada‘s (GoC) 5-Year benchmark bond yield jumped yesterday. We know, we already covered rising yields just a few days ago. I promise this is kind of a big deal, and I’m not just harping on […]
Risk models from Canada’s largest bank shows a wider range of uncertainty for real estate. RBC’s latest models, shared with analysts this week, shows a general forecasted improvement. The downside hasn’t changed much, indicating a little more uncertainty. They also shared they are considering two new and “more severe” scenarios for energy and real estate. […]
