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Daniel Wong

Contributing editor, stats guy.

Canada

Canada’s Share of Mortgages Written Off Fell, But The Average Loss Surged Higher

June 20, 2022

Canadian lenders are only writing off a smaller share of mortgages, but the losses are bigger. The average loss from bad mortgages increased sharply in Q1 2022, shows Equifax data. A smaller share of mortgages are producing write-offs, now at a record low. However, that might change fast as the size of the write-offs rise […]

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Canada

Canadian Mortgage Credit Nears $2 Trillion, Growth Is Still Astronomical But Slowing

June 18, 2022

Canadian mortgage credit has seen a drag from higher interest rates but old habits are hard to break. April hit a new high for residential mortgage debt, according to Bank of Canada (BoC) data. Higher interest rates, only two months in, helped to slow the rate of growth but it’s still very high. Canadian mortgage […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Sees Inventory Surge As Sales Plummet, Market Hits Balanced

June 15, 2022

Told ya’ higher interest rates would lead to more Canadian real estate inventory. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows existing-home sales dropped sharply in May. At the same time inventory has been climbing as more owners cash out some of those record gains. Falling sales and higher inventory has driven the market into balanced […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate’s Nearly 40-Year Tailwind From Lower Rates Is Reversing: BMO

June 14, 2022

Canadian real estate has had an easy climb over the past 30+ years, but that might be coming to an end. That was the take from BMO Capital Markets in a new research note. Recent mortgage borrowers will have to renew at much higher rates in the future. The estimated renewal increase will be the […]

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Canada

Canadian Household Debt To Income Ties Record, Bigger Economic Drag This Time

June 13, 2022

Low rates and the promise of riches from ever rising home prices sent Canadians on an epic debt binge. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows the household debt to disposable income ratio tied the record in Q1 2022. A tie might sound like we’ve seen this before, but interest rates make this situation stand out. […]

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Canada

Nearly 27% of Canada’s Mortgage Borrowers Are Highly Indebted, But Risk Is Overstated

June 11, 2022

Canada borrowed debt so households didn’t have to, but they went ahead and borrowed anyway. Bank of Canada (BoC) data shows the share of highly indebted mortgage borrowers pushed to a new high in Q1 2022. These borrowers, with at least a 450% debt-to-income (DTI) ratio, now represent 1 in 4 mortgages. It sounds bad, […]

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Canada

Canadian Mortgage Costs To Hit “Inconceivable” Levels After Bond Yields Surge: BMO

June 8, 2022

Canadians should say good-bye to the 15-or-so year experiment with cheap debt, because it’s over. Government of Canada (GoC) 5-year bond yields continued to boom, accelerating this week. The yield now sits at the highest level since before the Great Recession and isn’t expected to slow down. Mortgage rates will see a big impact from […]

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Canada

Canadian Mortgage Originations Fell Before Rate Hikes, Ontario Took The Biggest Hit

June 7, 2022

Fewer Canadians were taking out new mortgages, even before the rate hikes began. Mortgage origination data from TransUnion shows how originations fell sharply in Q4 2021. Not one province showed annual growth, with Ontario leading the way lower. As Canadian real estate prices climbed, fewer people were qualified to buy. This can act as friction […]

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Canada

Bank of Canada Survey Reveals More Institutions Expect Financial Shock Soon

June 6, 2022

Canadian institutions are showing fading optimism, according to a new survey. The Bank of Canada (BoC) released the Spring 2022 results of its Financial System Survey (FSS). The FSS is a twice-yearly poll of risk managers, allowing the BoC to compare expectations to their own. Results from the survey show more institutions expect a financial […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Investors On The Rise As First-Time Buyers Fall: RBC

June 3, 2022

Cheap debt turned Canadian real estate into a playground for deep-pocketed investors, with fewer end-users. That was one of the insights in the RBC Q2 2022 earnings call with analysts. Investors now represent almost 1 in 7 residential mortgage dollars they’re owed. RBC’s top brass called it a “sad commentary” to see so few first-time […]

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