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Daniel Wong

Contributing editor, stats guy.

Canada

Bank of Canada Rate Cut In July Less Likely, But Can’t Be Ruled Out: BMO

July 2, 2024

Canadian inflation is demonstrating it can be a lot stickier than the central bank expected. Last week’s CPI report showed annual growth accelerated, reversing some of the Bank of Canada (BoC) progress on taming inflation. The move sharply lowered the odds of the BoC making another cut later this month, but there’s still a chance, […]

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Canada

Canadian GDP On Track To Outperform, Weakness Confined To Housing

June 28, 2024

Canada’s economy might be stronger than expected according to this week’s data. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data shows real gross domestic product (GDP) grew in April. Even with preliminary numbers showing growth stalling in May, output is still set to outperform the central bank’s expectations. Most weakness is contained to just a few sectors, including […]

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Canada

Canadian Mortgage Arrears Rate To Rise 50% In 2024: Fitch

June 28, 2024

One of the world’s largest credit rating agencies sees a bumpy road for Canadian mortgages. Fitch Ratings’ latest Global Housing & Mortgage Outlook shows the mortgage arrears rate rising modestly in Canada in 2024. Even more distressed sellers are seen, but pent-up demand will help to absorb many before they fall behind. The turbulence is […]

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Toronto

Toronto New Home Sales Fall 71% & Inventory Rises, Weakest Demand Ever

June 26, 2024

Greater Toronto real estate can’t catch a break these days. The latest data from developer intelligence firm Altus Group and the regional developer group BILD GTA, shows Toronto new home prices slipped lower in May. Weak demand at this price level has pushed sales this year to the weakest level on record. It’s not for […]

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Canada

Canadian Inflation Higher Than Expected, Odds Of A Rate Cut Fall

June 25, 2024

Despite the rumors, Canadian inflation is alive and doing well—even with rising unemployment. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) released its latest update to the Consumer Price Index (CPI), showing an unexpected and large jump in May. It was the first surprise reading of the year, and not what the central bank wanted to hear. This move […]

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Canada

Canadian Population To Hit 63 Million By 2073, Life Expectancy Falls Further

June 24, 2024

Canada’s population is expected to slow in growth but still add a whole lot of people. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) data released this morning shows they expect growth to slow. The population is expected to hit 63 million people by 2073, driven almost exclusively by migration. At the same time, the country’s older population is […]

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Canada

Canadian Population Growth Slowing As Unemployment Rises

June 20, 2024

The Canadian population continues to advance at a breakneck speed. Statistics Canada (Stat Can) estimates the population reached a whopping 41 million people in Q1 2024, adding 0.6% (+242.7k) people in the quarter. The seasoanlly adjusted annual rate of growth fell to 3.0%, trimming 0.2 points from the previous quarter. Experts believe it’s too early […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Lagged TSX Returns Over The Past 20 Years: BMO

June 18, 2024

Most Canadians believe real estate is the best-performing investment they can make. A new report from BMO makes that unclear, after concluding the country’s largest stock market outperformed housing. Despite the TSX performing poorly against US equities, it outperformed Canadian housing significantly over the past 20 years. That can mean a fundamental shift for Canadian […]

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Canada

Canadian Real Estate Sales Plummet While Inventory Soars

June 17, 2024

Canadian real estate is having one of the worst Spring markets on record. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows home prices slipped lower in May. Continued weakness is the result of weak demand, which was expected to recover once rates were cut. Unfortunately for sellers, they overestimated how many buyers would appear ahead of […]

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Canada

Canadian Mortgage Delinquencies Rise 24%, Ontario Hits $1 Billion: Equifax

June 14, 2024

Canadian households are finally starting to realize why so many agencies warned against borrowing so much debt. A new report from Equifax Canada shows more households are struggling to repay their super-sized debt loads. The agency notes the trend is amplified in more expensive regions, where delinquencies are rising faster than the national average. Even […]

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